Mistake by the Lake Sporting Times

for the Cleveland sports fan

Wednesday, July 14, 2004

More Football Outsiders

by Corey

Wow!

Apparently, by simply mentioning Football Outsiders in my post the other day (the defense of Andre Davis), I attracted the attention of Aaron Schatz, the editor-in-chief and creator of Football Outsiders.

I told you about the two stats they use to evaluate wide receivers, DPAR and DVOA, but said that I didn't really know the difference between them. Aaron sent me an e-mail explaining it. And I quote:
Thought I'd clarify the difference between DPAR/PAR and DVOA/VOA. DVOA is a rate stat, representing value divided by league average value in the same situations. DPAR is a total stat, representing value OVER league-REPLACEMENT value in the same situations.

We needed to solve the problem of WR and RB who came out as average in our numbers but have inherent value because they take up so many plays and thus so much attention from the defense. Examples: Jamal Lewis, Anquan Boldin. This also moved part-timers down our charts. Moe Williams, Bobby Engram, and your man Andre'.
This made things clear to me. If you're still lost, Aaron provided a link to the article in which DPAR was first introduced.

So, what does this mean for Andre Davis? Well, once again, he was 2nd in the NFL in DVOA and 15th in DPAR last year. This means that while he didn't contribute on as many plays as some of his peers, he was stellar on the plays he did get in on. I think this further backs up my claim that, if anything, Andre is underrated.

Two questions came to me after reading Aaron's kind e-mail. First, is it Andre, Andre', or André Davis? I usually see it written the second way in the papers. But I've seen plenty of each.

Second, what's your reaction to Aaron's comment, in which he refers to Jamal (or "Jamel" as Doug Dieken would say) Lewis as "average"? Football Outsiders' numbers show Lewis to be about average, as running backs go, but valuable because he gets in on so many plays. I, for one, got excited to see a reputable source confirm what we Browns fans have been thinking since last fall - that Jamal Lewis is just nothing special. I mean, weren't you getting awfully sick of seeing every NFL analyst on TV praise that damn Baltimoron as if he were the best player ever, when he so clearly wasn't?

Posted at 6:00 AM

2 Comments:

Blogger Alex said…
I think it would be better for Browns fans if Lewis was great instead of average after watch him bulldoze us for 295 yards in a game. If he was only average, that would be even more emabarassing. Jamal Lewis is the new Pedro Martinez of the NFL; meaning that every time that TV shows a highlight of him its him destroying the Browns (or Indians in Martinez's case). Maybe Lewis average, but his offensive line is amazing? But how can Football Outsiders separate the performance of a running back from their offensive line?
Posted at 8:27 AM, July 14, 2004  
Blogger Corey said…
Alex, you know you are a member of this blog, right? You don't have to use the comments section.
Posted at 5:40 PM, July 14, 2004  

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